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The Turf DFS Study: Week 13 Lineups

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The Turf DFS Study: Week 13 Lineups


Estimated Reading Time: 3 Minutes

This article is part of the Turf’s very technical, very smart, and very scientific randomized-control trial pitting us humans against the robots in Daily Fantasy Football. To read the original study protocol, click here.

Week 12 Results

The Turf Team (study lineup, 4-7): Justin Herbert, Damien Harris, Dalvin Cook, Tee Higgins, Christian Kirk, Golden Tate, Jonnu Smith, Kareem Hunt, Saints DST – 70.44 points

The Computer (control lineup, 7-4): Justin Herbert, Dalvin Cook, Nyheim Hines, Julio Jones, Keelan Cole, Laviska Shenault, Travis Kelce, James White, Saints DST – 114.24 points

Analysis: 70.44 points. We picked 8 players and a DST, and managed only 70.44 points. The computer had its worst week yet in this study, and we lost by 44. We thought maybe Week 11 would have been our low. But no. This is it. We. Are. Shook.


Results to Date

Study Lineups (4-7)Control Lineups (7-4)
Total Points1,301.881,384.96
Average Points/Contest118.35136.29
Best Single Lineup141.84151.80
Worst Single Lineup70.44114.24
Range71.4037.56

Week 13 Lineups

Study Lineup and Rationale

This lineup may look like crap, and that’s because it is. Why? Because when we have aimed for “good” so far, we end up with “hot trashy garbage”. So perhaps, by going with “hot trashy garbage”, we might end up with something good. Who knows. Consider this simply the incoherent ramblings of grown adults who have been consistently put in their place by a free computer algorithm. Note that there are TWO Jets players in this lineup. Yes, things are that dire.

QB – Derek Carr ($5,800)

RB – Frank Gore ($4,400)

RB – Aaron Jones ($7,200)

WR – D.K. Metcalf ($8,200)

WR – Jakobi Meyers ($5,500)

WR – Michael Pittman, Jr. ($4,900)

TE – Darren Waller ($6,100)

FLEX – Denzel Mims ($4,100)

DST – Green Bay Packers DST ($3,800)


Control Lineup

A reminder. Our control lineup is created by an online optimizer picked at random. However, due to DraftKings Terms of Service, we have to manually select two players to build around. So, in order to maintain the internal validity of our study, we use the two most expensive players from our lineup to even things out and ensure the ONLY difference between our lineups are players the computer picked on its own.

This week, the computer optimized its lineup around Metcalf and Jones. You may also notice a bit more humble of a tone in our analysis of the computer’s lineup.

QB – Russell Wilson ($7,700)We have no right to trash talk after last week’s performance.

RB – Aaron Jones ($7,200) – Same as us.

RB – David Montgomery ($5,500) – We have no right to trash talk after last week’s performance.

WR – Davante Adams ($9,000) – We have no right to trash talk after last week’s performance.

WR – D.K. Metcalf ($8,200) – Same as us.

WR – Breshad Perriman ($3,900) – We have no right to trash talk after last week’s performance.

TE – Anthony Firkser ($2,500)– We have no right to trash talk after last week’s performance.

FLEX – Darnell Mooney ($3,400) – We have no right to trash talk after last week’s performance.

DST – New England Patriots DST ($2,400) – We have no right to trash talk after last week’s performance.


Here goes nothing. Literally.

Week 13, please be gentle.


Do you know someone who thinks they’re Bill Belichick when it comes to Fantasy Football, but in reality, they’re Lane Kiffin? Let them know! Send them a TurfBurn!

Turf Burns are a way to buy real estate in your league owners’ heads the old fashioned way: The United States Postal Service.

Want to embarrass someone on a weekday? Send them a Turf Burn to their office.

Want their spouse and family to know how badly you annihilated their roster last week? Send them one at home!

Want to send one every week, as your calling card? Guess what?! Turf Burns can do that.

Turf Burns. It’s a touchdown celebration sent through the mail!

The Turf is the newest online hub for everything going on in the sports world. That’s right. We. Cover. Everything.

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