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NFL Sleeper Cell Week 5: Gold Diggin’ Wideouts

It’s WEEK 5! Do you know where your Sleepers are?! THEY’RE IN HERE! COME ON!

NFL Sleeper Cell Week 5: Gold Diggin’ Wideouts


Estimated Reading Time: 7 Minutes

THE NFL SLEEPER CELL

PRE-WEEK 5 LEADERBOARD


10. Charlie Forray – 29.61

9.  Andrew Wilhelm – 31.69

8. Andrew O’Neill – 45.17

7. Joanna Krupnick – 50.72

6. Meg Schneider – 65.31

5. Kevin Morin – 94.08

4. Ryan Kelly  – 94.16

3. Justin Colombo  – 155.4

2. Jake Bridges – 181.1

1. Ned Donovan – 188.6


HOW IT WORKS


Each week our writers will make one sleeper pick each, in the hopes of that guy pulling through and exploding for a big week. We’ll note reasons why we like that player over another so on and what not. Each writer will accrue points every week from their pick, but there’s a catch.

Since it’s about sleepers, we’re going to take the DraftKings ownership percentage and subtract that amount of points. For example, if you select Drew Brees as your pick and he scored 50 points, but his ownership is at 50%, you’ll only score 25. If your Running Back, Wide Reciever, Tight End, or Defense’s ownership is under 5%, your points will multiply, 5% is multiplied by 1.5, 4% by 2, 3% by 3, 2% by 4, 1% by 5, and less than 1% by 6. For Quarterbacks, the multipliers are halved, 4% by 1.25, 3% by 1.5, 2% by 2, 1% by 2.5, and less than 1% by 3.

At the end of the season, the top 2 writers with the most points will split a $100 prize pool $75/$25.


THE PICKS


10. Charlie Forray – 29.61

9.  Andrew Wilhelm – 31.69

Aldrick Robinson – WR, San Francisco 49ers

As previously stated, I am notoriously bad at this concept and I should probably be going with my gut instinct to just pick Mitchell Trubisky and be done with it. But the Vikings defense held down my Lions offense last week pretty well so that seems to be a not so good idea. Another not so good idea? Picking anyone who is being thrown the ball by Brian Hoyer. But Marquise Goodwin got dinged up with a concussion and Robinson somehow led this awful team in receiving yards. They’re playing another awful team in the Colts who give up a ton of points to opposing WRs. Maybe this is the week I finally get one of these things right.

8. Andrew O’Neill – 45.17

Zach Miller – TE, Chicago Bears

My pick each week has rapidly (d)evolved into a curse declaration promising to bring 60 minutes of drought, famine and poverty to whichever player I place it on.

Take that Zach Miller, tight end for the Chicago Bears!

I know it seems like you, the 2nd TE, and Tarik Cohen, the 2nd RB, should be Mitchell Trubisky, the new starting QB’s, best friend in his first career start on Monday night against the Vikings, but since Cohen’s ownership has grown, I must select you, Zach, as my company in DFS misery. Cue maniacal laughter!

…really, though, I pick Zach Miller.

7. Joanna Krupnick – 50.72

Alex Collins – RB, Baltimore Ravens

I’ve been trying to get back in touch with my Baltimore Ravens roots. While doing some googling in between jobs, *cough*ordershewrotenyc.com*cough*, I discovered Alex Collins. Sure he fumbles a lot, but Jim Harbaugh said that wasn’t an issue. For most people playing DFS, it will. This week, I roll with my Ravens Rusher.

6. Meg Schneider – 65.31

JD McKissic – RB, Seattle Seahawks

He’s probably the best running back they have, and after his good game last week I think Pete Carroll will play him more.

5. Kevin Morin – 94.08

Will Fuller – WR, Houston Texans

Will had a good game against the Titans last week, reeling in a couple TDs. He faces a much tougher test this week in the Chiefs, though. KC is 4-0 and they don’t look like they’re going to be slowing down. Deshaun Watson is starting to come into his own, and is going to become an increasingly successful playmaker. Fuller can fit into the scheme against KC on extended plays on which Watson needs to look for second and third options, and catching passes in the red zone. Houston is going to need to get crafty in order to come out with a win, so I’m putting my faith in Fuller to have another solid performance.

4. Ryan Kelly  – 94.16

Trent Taylor – WR, San Francisco 49ers

Who?

Trent Taylor. You know, that guy? Trent? Everybody knows Trent.

For those of you that don’t, he’s a rookie slot receiver for the 49ers, and my sleeper pick this week. He’s seen a slow but steady increase in receptions and targets on a weekly basis and put up a respectable 5 catch – 47-yard performance last Sunday against Arizona. With a growing workload, and a dream matchup against the Colts defense on the horizon, I think Taylor could sneakily put up some good numbers in Week 5. Plus, with fellow wide receiver Marquise Goodwin dealing with a concussion, Taylor’s workload may expand even more.

3. Justin Colombo  – 155.4

Wayne Gallman – RB, New York Giants

I am going to be completely honest. My brain has been wrapped up in baseball all week long. So when it came time to pick my sleeper it took me a while. I kept scrolling through the players in my mind who I thought would be good picks. Will Duke Johnson, Jr FINALLY have a higher ownership? Does Jay Cutler finally allow me to trust him? If Eddie Lacy is worth less than $3.5K does anyone know he’s there? Things like that. Finally my brain stopped on a single question: Who was that guy on the Giants that I like?

Wayne Gallman, better known as the “Wayne Train”. This is a guy who you’re probably confusing with someone else. But there’s no confusion about my pick. Gallman is the real deal and he’s about to pop off. Gallman, the running back behind Heisman winner Deshaun Watson, fell in the draft due to concerns about his running styles. Scouts pointed to the fact that because he’s a “long, leggy strider” NFL holes my close quick on him. However, I’m looking for the Giants line to be the O-line they were touted as this offseason: a decent one. I think there is a 100% chance that Gallman is a very chalky pick, but with other, more easily exploitable matchups both in the secondary and the backfield this week, I’m wagering it’s worth it to find out. When you can pay for a middle of the road guy with high upside, why reach down for Gallman? That’s my point.

2. Jake Bridges – 181.1

Geronimo Allison – WR, Green Bay Packers

Well, I knew it couldn’t last forever. Ned has been nipping at my heels and he finally passed me after my dud with Hurns last week. Kudos to Ned for playing Smallwood. I almost pulled the trigger on him as well and even rostered him in various season-long leagues. BUT…the time for fun and games is over, and it’s all business.

This week, I am capturing the true essence of what it means to pick a sleeper and shouting ‘GERONIMOOOOOO….” I’m picking Geronimo Allison. Here’s why.

First of all, I think there is little to no chance that Devante Adams plays after his concussion last week. What happened the last time Rodgers was down one of his top 3 WRs (ie-Cobb in Week 3)? Allison caught 6 balls and gained 122 yards against the Bengals. This week, Allison and company get to square off against a secondary that isn’t much better than the Bengals in the Dallas Cowboys. Right now, the Cowboys are giving up 232 passing yards/game, and in their last 3 games, they’ve given up 35, 17, and 36 points respectively. You can score on Big D.

I know last year is done, but last time these two teams matched up, it was a 34-31 shootout. I see this following a similar script, and as usual with the Packers, there will be multiple viable fantasy options in the Green Bay receiving core. Did I mention that he has Aaron Rodgers throwing him the ball?

1. Ned Donovan – 188.6

Andre Ellington – RB, Arizona Cardinals

Andre Ellington breaks my heart every year, so I will probably live to regret this pick. Every year I stash him on my fantasy team, every year he has one game and then breaks. However someone has to be the lead back in Arizona, and Ellington is emerging fast. Why? Because Carson Palmer is getting pummeled and his deep ball has regressed to the point of nonexistence. Teams are forced to watch Larry Fitzgerald, J.J. Nelson, and the J. Brown duo (Jaron and John respectively). Besides Fitzy, none of those are names, but don’t let that fool you, this is a quietly fantastic receiving corp saddled with an inept quarterback who looks vintage roughly every 12 plays. What does that mean? Secondaries are being extremely careful with this receiving crew, while blitzing the hell out of Palmer. What does that mean for offensive production? Everything lives in quick dumps. Who would you rather dump the ball to, Troy Niklas and Ifeanyi Momah (the Tight Ends no one has heard of) or this quick kid named Andre Ellington?

Philadelphia is the 2nd best team against the run after 4 weeks, however they’re the 3rd worst team against the pass, with an average of 285 yards allowed per game. Completed passes against the Eagles are going for 11.3 yards per reception on average, but they are in the top 15 in the league after 4 weeks against passes of 20+ yards. Philly is going to send everything they got after Palmer, and he’s going to be pressured all day due to the Cardinals having an offensive line that has been close to disastrous, and a quarterback with the 3rd most INTs on the season. Look to Ellington to be the safety net that pulls Arizona through this game. Especially in the first half.


Check back on Wednesday to see the Results of the Plays!

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