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THE NFL SLEEPER CELL

PRE-WEEK 6 LEADERBOARD


10. Charlie Forray – 29.61

9.  Andrew Wilhelm – 36.19

8. Joanna Krupnick – 77.61

7. Meg Schneider – 78.51

6. Andrew O’Neill – 83.87

5. Ryan Kelly  – 102.16

4. Kevin Morin – 111.55

3. Justin Colombo  – 167.79

2. Jake Bridges – 181.1

1. Ned Donovan – 202.58


HOW IT WORKS


Each week our writers will make one sleeper pick each, in the hopes of that guy pulling through and exploding for a big week. We’ll note reasons why we like that player over another so on and what not. Each writer will accrue points every week from their pick, but there’s a catch.

Since it’s about sleepers, we’re going to take the DraftKings ownership percentage and subtract that amount of points. For example, if you select Drew Brees as your pick and he scored 50 points, but his ownership is at 50%, you’ll only score 25. If your Running Back, Wide Reciever, Tight End, or Defense’s ownership is under 5%, your points will multiply, 5% is multiplied by 1.5, 4% by 2, 3% by 3, 2% by 4, 1% by 5, and less than 1% by 6. For Quarterbacks, the multipliers are halved, 4% by 1.25, 3% by 1.5, 2% by 2, 1% by 2.5, and less than 1% by 3.

At the end of the season, the top 2 writers with the most points will split a $100 prize pool $75/$25.


THE PICKS


Charlie Forray – 29.61

Alvin Kamara – RB, New Orleans Saints

I’m sitting at the bottom of the points charts for sleeper picks so I’m hoping beyond hope that Mr. Alvin Kamara does what I think he will do this weekend. HE NEEDS TO HAVE A BIG GAME! Not for me (But also for me) but for the fact that he just definitively won the starting job over Adrian Peterson (Was traded to the Cardinals). This is his shot. He’s clearly talented and finally without that X factor bogging him down. That X factor being that he’s fighting for his job. Now he’s stress free and going up against the Lions. This game will probably become a shootout which is good for goal-line touches.

I’m predicting 109 Yards, 2 TDS, and I leap from the back of the back in points (I hope.)

Andrew Wilhelm – 36.19

Mitch Trubisky – QB, Bears

Because why not? I can’t do much worse than I already am doing. That seems to be the Bears approach as well. Maybe it will result in some awesome harmony.

Andrew O’Neill – 83.87

Josh Doctson – WR, Washington Redskins

This week let’s take a chance on Washington Redskins WR Josh Doctson.  Doctson was Washington’s first-round pick in last year’s draft and injuries have quickly made him a forgotten man, limiting him to just 2 games in 2016-17.  This season he has seen more snaps and the eyeball test suggests that with more targets will come more production.  Doctson’s skill set is well-rounded and has BIG PLAY written all over it, and Kirk Cousins seems eager to tap into this, targeting Doctson both on downfield throws and on throws into the end zone.

I’ll look for a breakout game against the pass-defense lacking and still winless 49ers, who remain so despite being in a position to win each of the last four.

Lastly, I’ll take any good excuse for me to yell “You like that?!” at friends and strangers, and if Doctson gets loose on Sunday that’s what’s going to happen.

Joanna Krupnick – 77.61

Shane Vereen – RB, New York Giants

Not related to Ben Vereen. VERY DISAPPOINTED.

Meg Schneider – 78.51

Josh McCown – QB, New Yok Jets

Josh McCown, Jets QB. Because let’s go Jets against them Pats LOL what is this season?!




Kevin Morin – 111.55

David Njoku – TE, Cleveland Browns

In an ugly game against the Jets last week, Njoku was a bright spot. He looks like he could become a favorite target of Kevin Hogan if he stays in the starting job and, let’s be honest, his TD celebrations are hilarious. Houston lost JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilus last week. With those two out, and Clowney missing practice Wednesday and Thursday, Njoku should be able to get off the block and into space if the Browns manage to get into the red zone. He’s only averaging a couple receptions per game but has found the end zone 3 times so I’m not ashamed to make my second Cleveland pick of the year. Hopefully, this goes better than last time…

Ryan Kelly  – 102.16

Dion Lewis – RB, New England Patriots

Gotta go with a homer pick this week. It seems like Lewis is seeing a bit more of a share in carries of late, considering that Mike Gillislee hasn’t been all that effective away from the goal line. I can see the Pats, at least early on, try to establish the running game and keep an injured Brady away from yet another pummeling at the hands of the opposing defensive line. Add in his top-tier abilities as a pass-catcher, and I think Lewis is poised for a big week against the Jets.

Justin Colombo  – 167.79

Hunter Henry – TE, Los Angeles Chargers

Hunter Henry has caught 12 of the 18 passes thrown his way and has 138 yards this season. That’s over 10 yards a catch. The other thing I like about this big guy is how often he’s on the field. Henry played 63 snaps last week, and I don’t think that changes this week against the Raiders. Phil Rivers need a check down option not named Melvin Gordon. When you add a Rivers option, and then subtract the possibility of Gordon getting hurt, I’ll toss the rock to Henry all day. Why not? The kid has hands!

Jake Bridges – 181.1

Josh McCown – QB, New York Jets

Well, I really crapped the bed last week. I got a big ol’ fat goose egg from Allison. In my defense, I just mistakenly assumed that a horrible looking concussion to Davante Adams would keep him out last week. How foolish of me! But in all seriousness, I’m happy that he is ok and played quite well last week. It came at the cost of my sleeper, but that’s life.

As for this week, I’m going with a guy I never thought I’d pick once this year: Josh McCown. The Jets are horrible. Make no mistake about that. However, you know who has looked like gutter trash this year?? The Patriots defense, and that’s why I’m going after them this week. The Pats have given up the most yards per game BY FAR (447 as opposed to Indy’s next closest 397), and the most passing yards per game. They’ve also given up the 4th most points to opposing offenses in 2017 too. Whether or not teams play from behind to catch up to New England, they cannot stop anything with that porous secondary.

Are the Jets good? No. Is Josh McCown good? Probably not. Is he going to manage to dump off passes to Austin Sefarian-Jenkins all day and make me look like a genius. Definitely. Get on board!

Ned Donovan – 202.58

Tavarres King – WR, New York Giants

Last week I missed on the ownership, though I had a nice outting from Ellington. This week? I’m playing a pretty danged deep sleeper. Am I crazy? Maybe. But hear me out.

I, as a long time Patriots fan, and someone who graduated high school in 2008 and College in 2012, hate Eli Manning and the Giants. They really wrecked both of my senior years. But what happened last week shouldn’t be wished on any team. Odell Beckham Jr. gone for the season. Brandon Marshall gone for the season and potentially done with his career? Sterling Shepard out for what’s probably gonna be a while. I mean, that is brutal. The number 1 WR for the Giants is Roger Lewis. The number 2 for this week? A standout preseason player named Tavarres King.

What does that mean? I mean they’re going up against that insanely good Broncos D. Yes, yes they are. But god damn it this is when Eli Manning comes out of nowhere. Every. Damn. Time. Roger Lewis is going to draw the top coverage. They’re going to have to respect Tight End Evan Engram (another solid Sleeper play this week). The backs have hands and will be dumped off to early and often because the O Line is not helpful and the Broncos are just gonna let Von Miller loose and see what happens. So the D is gonna creep up on those backs until what happens? Eli hits Tavarres King for 100 yards receiving and two TDs on slant routes across the middle with the defense in Cover 2.

Now the Giants are going to lose, of that I’m fairly certain. But as sleepers go? King is a damn good option that I’m betting no one will have.


CHECK BACK IN WITH US ON WEDNESDAY TO SEE HOW WELL OUR PICKS DID!

WANT TO PLAY ALONG? TWEET US YOUR PICKS TO @3UP3DOWNBLOG BY SUNDAY AT 12!

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