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NFL Conference Championship Picks: Who’s going to the ‘ship?

NFL Conference Championship Picks: Who’s going to the ‘ship?


Estimated Reading Time: 3 Minutes

We’re back to square one after getting even last weekend. We now have three games to end the playoff run with the same positive results we saw in the regular season.

I believe in you, and I believe in us.

Let’s pick some Conference Championships!

According to this page on the Super Bowl odds, the Kansas City Chiefs are listed as favorites to win the Championship title while LA Rams trail slightly behind, but let’s get into it.

Divisional Round = 3-1

Playoffs-to-Date = 5-5

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Last Matchup = Cincinnati won 34-31 at home in Week 17

Last week was the type of game where the Chiefs are either going to roll to the Super Bowl, or come out completely flat.

If this was in Cincinnati I might be a little worried about the latter, but where this game is in Arrowhead I don’t think Joe Burrow and the Bengals stand a chance.

The Chiefs have scored 42 points in each playoff game so far, and haven’t scored less than 31 vs. a team that isn’t the Denver Broncos since Week 11.

Cincinnati is averaging 22.5 points in their two playoff games. Credit to this team for winning both games, but there is a case to be made the Raiders and Titans lost those matchups more than Cincy won.

The Bengals have the offensive talent to keep this close early but I have confidence the Chiefs pull away late. There’s always the garbage score concern, but I’m going with Kansas City.

The Pick = Kansas City

San Francisco 49ers “@” Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)

Last Matchup = San Francisco won 27-24 (OT) “at” Los Angeles in Week 18

I planned to pick both favorites as soon as last week’s games ended. I felt great about it. As more and more “experts” continued to hype up the 49ers I felt even better.

Then I kept staring at that extra .5 points. This season has repeatedly shown home teams aren’t receiving as much of an advantage from playing in their own stadium.

Plus, the Rams don’t even really have a home-field advantage as is. Sean McVay and Andrew Whitworth’s wife even had to beg Rams fans not to sell their tickets to 49ers fans. That’s not good.

Also, Kyle Shanahan is 7-3 vs. the Rams since he and McVay were hired, including 6-0 in the most recent stretch of matchups. That’s also not good.

I’m taking the points.

Another note – Don’t sleep on taking the under here. In the last 10 matchups between these teams the total has averaged 52 points, but in the last four it’s only 44.  

The Pick = San Francisco

Don’t forget this is our last day of multiple NFL games, so soak it in.

We only have one game left after this! Come back in two weeks for the Super Bowl!

Terry is from Massachusetts and is a passionate fan of the Patriots, Celtics, Red Sox and Bruins. He also will admit he only pays attention to Syracuse basketball when they're good. If there's a Twitter trade rumor even remotely associated with one of his teams, he's likely fallen for it. Finally, he believes 100% that if the Celtics had beaten the Heat in the 2012 Eastern Conference Finals they would have swept the Thunder in the Finals.

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