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NFL FANTASY: Yay, Nay, and Hooray! QB Edition

Which Quarterbacks Will You Take in Your Draft?

Josh Allen by Erik Drost is licensed under CC BY 2.0

NFL FANTASY: Yay, Nay, and Hooray! QB Edition

Estimated Reading Time: 8 Minutes

Can you believe football is almost here already? It is indeed that time, and it also means folks are doing their homework and preparing for their upcoming fantasy football drafts. That is, of course, if you haven’t drafted your ultimate squad already!

That is where fellow Turf Writer Ryan MacPherson and myself, come into play. Two guys, one from New York, the other from Boston, put aside their sports fandom differences to bring you our QUARTERBACKS edition of Yay, Nay, and Hooray!

Now you are probably wondering what that all means. Basically, if you remember last year, I did my Love, Hate, and Sleepers articles for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. If you are a follower of Matthew Berry on ESPN, he writes his Love/Hate articles for fantasy football each week. Pretty similar.

But here at the Turf, we decided to put our own flavor on a similar concept. Our Yays are the players we Love. The Nays are the players we Hate, and our Hoorays! are the players we think could be Sleepers in fantasy this year. As in “Hooray! No one thought you would be this productive in fantasy this year!”

Alright let’s get to the Quarterbacks!

Ryan’s YAY Quarterbacks

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans

In 2019, Deshaun Watson was #4 amongst QBs in fantasy points and yet, people seem to forget that he’s out there. A couple of early playoff losses will do that. But Deshaun enters 2020 with a new contract and with a new safety valve in the backfield, David Johnson.

Sure, Watson lost one of the best receivers in the game when Houston traded DeAndre Hopkins to Arizona, but Watson will drop much lower than the Mahomes/Lamar duo in the draft, while adding comparable value.

Matt’s YAY Quarterbacks

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Of course, we all are going to love Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. But guess who was a Top-10 QB in fantasy last year, finishing ahead of Aaron Rodgers, Matt Ryan, Carson Wentz, and Tom Brady? That’s right, Kyler Murray, believe it or not, was 8th in points last year among QBs. And I think he will be better this year. Not to mention, he just received one of the best wide receivers in DeAndre Hopkins who came to Arizona in a bank robbery of a trade.

I expect other Arizona receivers to step up this year as well, such as Christian Kirk and Andy Isabella. And of course, how can we forget the legend Larry Fitzgerald as the icing on the receiver corps cake. I really like Murray to take a big leap in his second year.

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

Say what you want about Matt Ryan, but the dude can ball in fantasy. Ryan has never finished below the Top-14 in fantasy points among QBs in his career. I’m not sure if their defense is going to be any good, but I can tell you their offense will be pretty potent, and Hayden Hurst is a nice addition at tight end, and if Todd Gurley can stay healthy, even better. Julio will be Julio, and I expect Calvin Ridley to step up and have a nice season as well.

Here’s the thing about Matt Ryan and the Falcons too…in a division with Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Carolina, whose offense had some major upgrades, Atlanta is going to have to put up some serious points to try and stick with those high octane offenses. Which means Ryan is putting up some serious fantasy points this year.

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I mean, it’s Tom Brady…with a stacked deck of weapons all over the place…under a Bruce Arians offense. How can you not like Brady in fantasy this year? Also, see above.

Brady finished 12th in fantasy points among QBs last year. He will finish Top-10 this year…you can book it.

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Ok, one more Yay QB for ya. This is a quarterback who is getting better every year. Allen was 6th in points among QBs last year in fantasy with NINE rushing TDs. He gets Stefon Diggs this year which should help. Not to mention a Brady-less Patriots team and a Jamal Adams-less Jets team in the division.

The Bills defense will be very strong again this year, which will give Allen more opportunities on offense. This is the year the Bills take the division, and I think Allen has a nice fantasy year again.

Ryan’s NAY Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

No new weapons and a new QB nipping at his heels. While this may be a good recipe for a revenge tour, the reality is Aaron Rodgers was a middle-of-the-pack QB in fantasy last year. His talent will get him some games of 30+ fantasy points, but expect him in the mid-teens more often than not. For how high he’ll go in most drafts, I don’t see the value.

Matt’s NAY Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay

I agree with Ryan, I’m going with Rodgers as a Nay QB as well. He’s regressed and he is going to be facing some very good defenses this year. Not to mention, besides Davante Adams, he really doesn’t have much to throw too.

Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers

I’m not sure if I really believe in the Super Bowl Hangover. Instead, I think I’m more of a believer in the Super Bowl Runner-Up Hangover.

Only eight teams in NFL history have returned to the Super Bowl the year after losing the previous Super Bowl. In the past decade, only five teams who were Super Bowl runner-ups even made the playoffs the following season. Also in the past decade, only three Super Bowl losing quarterbacks returned the next year to finish in the Top-10 in fantasy points among QBs. Those three QBs? They were Tom Brady (3rd), Russell Wilson (4th), and Ben Roethlisberger (9th).

When he wasn’t playing the Cardinals, Jimmy G averaged just 13.5 fantasy points per week. I am not as crazy about Jimmy G as most others, and I think he, along with the 49ers overall, will take a couple steps backwards this year.

Cam Newton, New England Patriots

Newton is currently ranked 13th among QBs in fantasy going into this season. That’s too high. He is currently ranked higher than Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, Matthew Stafford, and Jared Goff and I wouldn’t be surprised if all four of those QBs finish higher than Newton this year.

I think New England runs the ball more this season, and I think Newton is going to have a tough time out of the gate. New England also has arguably the toughest schedule the team has had in the Belichick era this season. Don’t expect Cam to come back after a near two-year hiatus and light the league on fire. Just because he is a Patriot now, don’t reach too far for him the draft.

Ryan’s HOORAY! Quarterbacks

Daniel Jones, New York Giants

Let’s be clear, I would not take Daniel Jones as my QB1. But the Giants played from behind a lot last year and garbage time was Danny Dimes’ best friend. I expect that again this year and with teams stacking the box against Saquon Barkley, passing lanes should be wide open for Jones. With another year of the offense under his belt, expect Jones to take a leap in his second year.

Matt’s Hooray! Quarterbacks

Philip Rivers, Indianapolis Colts

I know what you’re thinking – Rivers was dreadful last year. But This year, he has a much better offensive line with a better, offensive-minded head coach in Frank Reich. The Colts are also going to be better overall this season. Rivers also has plenty of weapons in Parris Campbell, T.Y. Hilton, and rookie Michael Pittman Jr., who I think will be a very nice player. Look for the old gunslinger to make a rebound this year.

Teddy Bridgewater, Carolina Panthers

I really like Bridgewater as a great QB2 and value pick in the late rounds. He is currently ranked #26 for QBs. Teddy Bridgewater, who threw nine TDs to 2 INTs with a near 68% completion percentage through nine games backing up Drew Brees is ranked 26th and will be part of a Carolina offense that has Christian McCaffrey, DJ Moore, Curtis Samuel, and Robby Anderson, who was picked up by the Panthers this offseason. I love Bridgewater as a sleeper this year.

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

This isn’t because I’m a Steelers fan. This is because I think people are tremendously undervaluing Big Ben, per usual. Let’s not forget, this dude led the league in passing two years ago. If Ben is healthy this year, I think he will have a really nice fantasy year. Dionte Johnson will take a step forward this year at receiver, and they also added Eric Ebron at tight end. Steelers’ schedule is also a bit easier than it was last season in my opinion.

Big Ben is the kind of quarterback who will go very late in drafts this year. As a matter of fact, he might not even be drafted in some leagues, which I think is crazy. But like Bridgewater, Big Ben could make for a nice backup QB at least, as he looks to pick up where he left off two seasons ago in an aerial Pittsburgh offense.

Matt lives in Newnan, Georgia but was born and raised in Upstate New York. He is a fan of the New York Yankees, New York Rangers, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Boston Celtics. At the collegiate level, he is a Notre Dame and Syracuse fan (yeah he can root for both, and what?!) He must, however, find a soccer team to root for. So him out there. All suggestions are welcome. You can catch Matt on the Turf mostly covering NFL, NBA, MLB, College Football and Basketball, and Horse Racing (that is not a typo, he practically grew up on a racetrack). It's nothing's strictly sports.

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