I’m baaaaaaaack! Your favorite Turf NFL writerrrrr! Actually no, you all probably hate my guts.
Anyway, I missed Week 6 writing my NFL picks for the Turf, but I still made picks and shared them with my fellow Turf writers.
And I did horribly.
First of all, Week 5 I went 6-9 with my picks (Woof). Then in Week 6, I went 6-8. Thanks to the freaking refs in the Lions vs. Packers game, they prevented me from going .500 on the week. So yeah, I’ve had a rough couple of weeks picking games, but I am here to get back on track! It’s Redemption Week baby! Let’s get right to it…to the picks!
Week 6 Picks: 6-8
Season Picks Record: 54-41
Rams at Falcons
Both of these teams have lost their last three games. So someone ends that streak this Sunday. The Rams’ offensive line looks terrible, but luckily I don’t think they have much to worry about against this dreadful Atlanta defense.
A few weeks back, I couldn’t really figure out why the Falcons were underachieving so much. But then I realized, they might have the worst defense in football right now – it is an abomination. I like Jared Goff and the Rams to get back on track and win this one on the road. Meanwhile, Atlanta has real issues, and I think time has just about run out for head coach Dan Quinn. Rams win 24-21.
Dolphins at Bills
Buffalo doesn’t really have to put up many points here. The Dolphins are a tire fire, and they will have no chance against this Bills defense on the road. Miami has the worst turnover differential in the NFL and they are going up against a really good defense. I like Buffalo to have no problems here. Bills win 21-10.
Jaguars at Bengals
Cincinnati could be a tough environment for a quarterback’s first time playing at Paul Brown Stadium. But I don’t think it will be Gardner Minshew who wins this game for the Jaguars. I think Leonard Fournette will have a big day rushing against the worst defense against the run currently in the NFL. Fournette has a big day, and Minshew does just enough for Jacksonville to take a low-scoring road win. Jaguars win 17-14.
Vikings at Lions
After losing to Chicago in Week 4, the Kirk Cousins Haters Club of America came out for a big celebration. Everyone and their dog, and all the talking heads on every sports talk show and podcast you can think off were calling for Cousins to lose his job as quarterback in Minnesota.
Well since that loss, Cousins has completed 78.5% of his passes for 639 yards, 6 TDs, and just one interception in the past two games combined. Cousins and the Vikings rolled through the Giants in Week 5, and in Week 6, they stomped the Eagles 38-20.
Minnesota has been playing really good football lately, and the Lions are coming off a heartbreaking, bullshit loss. However, as bullshit as it was, the Lions also did not help themselves on offense.
In that game against Green Bay, the Lions failed could not execute at all in the red zone. That’s not on the refs. Matt Prater, after all, did kick FIVE field goals. Matthew Stafford couldn’t find the end zone – he had zero touchdowns. Additionally, the Lions rushed for a total of 56 yards, while the Packers ran all over the place rushing for 170 total yards. That’s insane.
So, while the Lions got robbed, at the same time I also think they didn’t really help themselves on offense. Even Detroit’s running back Kerryon Johnson recognized that:
We left so many plays out there.Kerryon Johnson, Lions running back
This could be a close NFC North game, but I like how Minnesota has been playing recently, and I think their defense will do enough to contain Stafford and the Detroit offense. Vikings win 20-17.
Raiders at Packers
I thought about taking this upset. But Green Bay is tough to take down at Lambeau. However, the Raiders are actually playing good football lately, and did you know their defense is actually 7th in the NFL against the run? Crazy.
A big part of Oakland’s success this season has been Derek Carr as well. Carr has completed 73.3% of his passes for 1,117 yards and 6 TDs.
Both Derek Carr and Aaron Rodgers will be without their top receivers in Tyrell Williams and Davante Adams, respectively, for this game. I think Oakland gives Green Bay fits, but I think Rodgers will have just enough magic to pull out a close win at home. Packers win 23-20.
Texans at Colts
Deshaun Watson and the Texans have been firing on all cylinders recently taking down the Chiefs on the road, and putting up 53 points in a big win against the Falcons. However, the Colts are coming off a bye week, and their defense has played well lately. The big questions for me is will Houston be able to protect Watson, and can they run the ball effectively against this Indy defense? I also think that the Texans’ secondary has to play better.
This will be a close, tough fight for the top of the AFC South division, but I like the mini upset here. I’m going with Indy. Colts win 23-21.
Cardinals at Giants
Saquon Barkley comes back for the Giants in time for a tasty matchup against the Cardinals. It will be really fun to watch Daniel Jones and Kyler Murray battle each other. I think the Giants are catching a Cardinals offense that is finally starting to find their way and figure things out, and that might just be the difference-maker. Cardinals win 27-23.
49ers at Redskins
I said last week that this 49ers team could have the best defense in the league. This Niners team reminds me a lot of last year’s Bears team; where their defense was great, but were also a bit limited offensively. This Sunday, that won’t matter. The Redskins are a tire fire, and I think the Niners win big. 49ers win 30-10.
Chargers at Titans
Both of these teams are a mess right now. The Chargers have a million injuries, and the Titans can’t figure out their quarterback. Despite all the injuries that the Chargers have, I think I’ll take Philip Rivers over Ryan Tannehill in this one. Chargers win 24-14.
Saints at Bears
Meanwhile, the Bears’ offense has struggled a bit this year, but their defense is still a force. I actually think all signs are pointing towards a Bears win this weekend. First of all, Chicago will be at home coming off a bye week. Secondly, the Saints will be without Alvin Kamara, Tre’Quan Smith, and Jared Cook on offense. With that much missing in the Saints offense, Bridgewater may struggle to move the ball against this tough Bears defense.
I think the stars have aligned for a Bears upset win this Sunday. They’re catching a very good Saints team at a good time. Bears win 17-16.
Ravens at Seahawks
Russell Wilson is playing at a MVP level right now, and I still don’t think the Ravens have a quality win this season.
Last week, Baltimore almost lost in overtime to the Steelers’ third-string quarterback. Additionally, the Ravens have won games against the Dolphins, Cardinals, and Bengals. Yeah…ok.
The Ravens are 4-2, but their four wins are against teams who have a combined record of 4-18-1.
I think Baltimore gets exposed against the Seahawks on the road, and I’m not sure if it will be even close. Seahawks win 29-17.
Eagles at Cowboys (Sunday Night)
Both of these teams are a bit banged up and are coming off of terrible losses. Whether the Cowboys win this game or not really, strongly comes down to Dak Prescott‘s performance. He has a chance to get back on track here, because the Eagles secondary is pitiful. Will he do it? I think he will. Give me the ‘Boys in a close one. Cowboys win 28-26.
Patriots at Jets (Monday Night)
This will be your quintessential “bad-team-hangs-around-with-the-Patriots-for-the-first-half-because-they-draw-them-away-from-Gillette-but-eventually-gets-massacred-in-the-second-half-type of game.” Whew that was a lot.
With Sam Darnold back, the Jets will hang around with the Patriots at home for the first half. And then after halftime, that’s when New England lights the fireworks and pulls away. Patriots win 38-20.
Enjoy the games!
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