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NFL Sleeper Cell: London Calling – Week 7

SLEEPERS. SLEEPERS. SLEEPERS. We’ve got your DraftKings Sleepers!

NFL @ Wembley by Mark Botham is licensed under CC BY-NC 2.0

NFL Sleeper Cell: London Calling – Week 7


Estimated Reading Time: 7 Minutes

When I first started this site, the emphasis was Daily Fantasy Sports. I have had a lot of success playing Draftkings and FanDuel and was looking for a way to express my knowledge of the game. The first post entitled “How It Works” went something like this:

There’s a secret key to playing Daily Fantasy Sports. It’s the most important piece of advice I can give you to be successful playing DFS sports. You have to pick against other players.

That’s what wins. You could have a full lineup of the top performer players, but if 90 other people have that lineup, your winnings will be significantly smaller. That’s where Sleepers come in.

A Sleeper is a player who you believe is going to break out and have a very, very productive week, but not many people know about. For example, Dak Prescott was a sleeper last year. Everyone thought Tony Romo was the guy who would take Dallas the distance, but after another back injury, Dak was named the starter ahead of the 2016 season. And he went off.

Dak went primarily undrafted in most 2016 drafts, as he was an untested rookie, but now he’s a stud with an arsenal of weapons and a strong running game behind him. He was a sleeper and is now a bonafide play each week.

Another example of a sleeper is Kareem Hunt, a guy most of you probably didn’t know existed until he murdered the New England Patriots Defense Week 1 of the 2017 season. SLEEPER.

So what we’ve decided to do here at the Turf. It’s our own kind of Fantasy Football, all based around Sleepers. 

-Justin Colombo, Head Writer at The Turf

HOW IT WORKS

Each week our writers will make one sleeper pick each, in the hopes of that guy pulling through and exploding for a big week. We’ll note reasons why we like that player over another so on and what not. Each writer will accrue points every week from their pick, but there’s a catch.

Since it’s about sleepers, we’re going to take the DraftKings ownership percentage and subtract that amount of points. For example, if you select Drew Brees as your pick and he scored 50 points, but his ownership is at 50%, you’ll only score 25. If your Running Back, Wide Reciever, Tight End, or Defense’s ownership is under 5%, your points will multiply, 5% is multiplied by 1.5, 4% by 2, 3% by 3, 2% by 4, 1% by 5, and less than 1% by 6. For Quarterbacks, the multipliers are halved, 4% by 1.25, 3% by 1.5, 2% by 2, 1% by 2.5, and less than 1% by 3.

At the end of the season, the top 2 writers with the most points will split a $100 prize pool $75/$25.

Do you follow that? Picking a sleeper is the most important thing you can do for a DFS lineup, and low ownership allows you to score those points and no one else!

Get acquainted with last week’s picks!

So without further adieu, The Turf Sports and Draftkings presents…

THE SLEEPER CELL

2018 Sleeper Cell Leaderboard

 1.  Andrew Mark Wilhelm – 271.9 – 0 points last week 1.

2.   Matteo Mills – 261.9 – 72.6 points last week

3.   Andrew O’Neill – 252.58 – 13.18 points last week

4.   Chris Plonka – 233.3 – 29.8 points last week

5.   Ryan Kelly – 214.1 – 68.5 points last week

6.   Joe Dalfonso – 207.18 – 0 points last week

7.   Justin Colombo – 182.7 – 51.5 points last week

8.   Charlie Forray – 177.4 – 11 points last week

9.   Ben Salus – 170.48 – 46.8 points last week

10. Kevin Michael Morin – 162.15 – 19.6 points last week

11. Meg Schneider – 145.58- 13.18 points last week

12. Matt Branigan – 140.6 – 72.6 points last week

13. Mark DiGiammarino – 102.46 – 5.67 points last week

14. Joanna Krupnick – 97.21 – 43.2 points last week

15. Sam Silva – 86.40 – 10.35 points last week

16. Matt DaSilva – 70.86 – 13.18 points last week

THIS WEEK’S PICKS

16. Matt DaSilva – 70.86 – No Pick.

15. Sam Silva – 86.40 – Taylor Gabriel – WR, Chicago Bears

This is all Sam sent in. Love the confidence, Sam. Keep it up.

14. Joanna Krupnick – 97.21 – T.J. Yeldon – RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Everyone’s got a big Chubb on their minds this week. We’re playing the misdirect. Don’t sleep on Yeldon.

13. Mark DiGiammarino – 102.46 – Damion Ratley – WR, Cleveland Browns

Because why not?

12. Matt Branigan – 140.6 – Kerryon Johnson – RB, Detroit Lions

This may not be that deep of a sleeper pick, because I believe Kerryon has already been chosen by others in past weeks for the Sleeper Cell.

But I’m picking him now. 

This week he goes up against a Dolphins defense that has given up 167 yards from scrimmage per game against opposing running backs. Also, if Theo Riddick is unable to play this week (he’s questionable with a knee injury) then I expect Kerryon to get heavily involved as a pass-catcher. BIG game for Kerryon here! 

11. Meg Schneider – 145.58 – Jermaine Kearse – WR, New York Jets

“Are the Jets back?” is an actual text I got from my boyfriend after last week’s game. My heart goes out to any and every New York sports fan at this dark time, and that’s why I’m looking for Jermaine Kearse to have a great week against the Vikings. Last week he had 9 catches for 94 yards, and with Jets WRs Enunwa and Pryor expected to be out this week, Kearse will have even more chances to shine like the emerald I know he can be.

10. Kevin Michael Morin – 162.15 – Nick Chubb – RB, Cleveland Browns

Carlos Hyde just got traded to the Jags so Cleveland could open Chubb up to more playing time. They’re playing a Tampa Bay team that needs to sort out its identity, so why not look for Chubb to break out this week?

9. Ben Salus – 170.48 – Brock Osweiler – QB, Miami Dolphins

There’s a shot that Brock goes crazy against a Lions D that surrenders 8.1 YPA. I have to think he’ll be able to go for 250+ and 2 TDs. Not many people picked him up after the Tannehill injury and anytime you can get a QB with a low ownership %, I’m in.

8. Charlie Forray – 177.4 – Antonio Callaway – WR, Cleveland Browns

Antonio Callaway is absurdly due for a big game and this one is it. He’s been averaging 9 targets over his last three games with the Browns and those reps with Baker Mayfield shouldn’t be overlooked. Specifically against a 31st ranked Tampa Bay defense.

Mayfield is going to be looking for some big plays this game to pump up the team. He’s their leader now. And if there’s one thing a new leader does to amp up his team, it’s make them all look like studs, and run up the scoreboard. I think Baker Mayfield would also be a great start this week if you wanna stack them both and save room for other high-value players on your roster.

7. Justin Colombo – 182.7 – Zay Jones – WR, Buffalo Bills

Zay Jones has had such a low ownership these past few weeks. IT’s gotten to the point that I think it’s just me and a few bots. Zay Jones alllllll day. 

6. Joe Dalfonso – 207.18 – Taylor Gabriel – WR, Chicago Bears

The Patriots Defense looked terrible last week in their shootout against Kansas City. They don’t have anyone that can match the speed of Gabriel. Looking for a big game out of him

5. Ryan Kelly – 214.1 – Derek Anderson – QB, Buffalo Bills

I’ve never been so sure about anything in my life.

4. Chris Plonka – 233.3 – Phillip Dorsett – WR, New England Patriots

It’s looking like Gronk won’t be playing in Chicago tomorrow, and while that just means Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon will probably get more targets, it also creates opportunities for other players on the depth chart. Expect the Pats to try to neutralize the Bears pass rush with a quick passing attack, and maybe open things up for Dorsett too.

3. Andrew O’Neill – 252.58 – No Pick. 

2. Matteo Mills – 261.9 – Cameron Meredith – WR, New Orleans Saints

Being a receiver in a Drew Brees offense is never a bad thing. Looking to turn my kick around after the last dud, I like his opportunity to capitalize on having Breea this week. With his receptions trending upwards for the past three weeks, I’m picking this one to be the one he flirts with 20 points. 

Current Leader: Andrew Mark Wilhelm – 271.9 Maurice Harris – WR – Washington Football Team

I have not done very well the last two weeks, so things are seemingly back to normal. The Washington WR core is severely banged up. Maurice Harris may even get a start this week against a Cowboys defense that is pretty decent against the pass, but seems ripe for a bad game. This is a long shot for sure, but conservative options aren’t any fun.

CHECK BACK IN NEXT WEEK TO SEE HOW WE DID!

THINK YOU CAN BEAT US? TWEET US YOUR PICKS TO @THETURFSPORTS! PICKS LOCK EVERY SUNDAY AT 12!

You can even play along by clicking the link below!

We are a promoter at DraftKings and are also avid fans and users and may sometimes play on our personal accounts in the games that we offer advice on. Although we have expressed our personal views on games and strategies, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of  DraftKings and we may deploy different players and strategies than what we recommended. We are not employees of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Justin Colombo is a 2017 Broadway Show Softball League All-Star at 3B/SS. He's essentially the Manny Machado of the Kinky Boots team. Justin has been writing about Baseball since he was a little kid. Now that being an actor in NYC has given him a lot of free time, in 2015 he decided to take his passion public and founded Three Up, Three Down as a way to express his love for the game. From there, Three Up, Three Down grew from a hobby to an obsession. After years of growth and one insult from MLB's Historian, Justin launched The Turf, a way to expand into all areas of the sporting world. Follow him on Instagram and Twitter. LET'S. GO. METS.

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