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NFL WEEK 4 PICKS: SAINTS HOLD OFF ‘BOYS; BEARS NIP VIKINGS; RAVENS DROP BROWNS

We have reached the quarter mark of the regular season already. Week 4 – GET INTO IT!

Dallas Cowboys by Keith Allison is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0

NFL WEEK 4 PICKS: SAINTS HOLD OFF ‘BOYS; BEARS NIP VIKINGS; RAVENS DROP BROWNS


Estimated Reading Time: 7 Minutes

In recent years, you can tell the NFL has made efforts to improve Thursday Night football games, and boy this week’s game showed that. You couldn’t have asked for a better Thursday Night game – it was incredible.

We saw two great quarterbacks put on quarterback clinics in a high-scoring shootout at Lambeau Field. This felt like a must-win game for the Eagles coming in at 1-2 and trailing an undefeated Cowboys team in the NFC East. I think Philly knew that if they lost this game, they would be in a world of trouble.

Don’t think that this wasn’t a big game for the Packers either. Because even though they were 3-0 coming in, just take a look at their remaining schedule. They still have road games against Dallas, Kansas City, LA Chargers, San Francisco, Detroit, and Minnesota. Lord, Green Bay has BRUTAL road games remaining on their schedule. They still have to play the Chicago again, Carolina, and Detroit at home. By the way, the game I am circling on the calendar is October 14th, Monday Night Packers vs. Lions. Never thought I would, but I think Detroit has a good team this year. That will be a battle, and I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: The NFC North is anybody’s division; and that includes the Lions. That division is up for grabs and it can be won at a 9-7 record. It will be a battle for the rest of the season – watch.

Is the Packers’ Defense Really as Good as We Think?

Everyone has been going cuckoo for Green Bay’s defense, but this whole time I never bought into it. Is their defense bad? No, certainly not. But I have been saying this since the preseason that their defense is not THAT good.

In Week 1 Green Bay’s defense went up against a cruddy Bears offense. Chicago’s defense is good; their offense not so much. Then in Week 2, they got Kirk Cousins coming into Lambeau and probably having his worst game he’s had since…I don’t know…sometime when he was in Washington? But Cousins was awful. Then Week 3, the Packers defense got a Broncos team who has just been awful all around on both sides of the ball. So, in the first three weeks, Green Bay faced Mitch Trubisky, Kirk Cousins, and Joe Flacco. This was the easiest part of Green Bay’s schedule. It gets harder from here, and in Week 4 they actually faced a legitimate quarterback in Carson Wentz and look what happened. Speaking of which…

It’s Time to Stop the Wentz-Foles Comparisons

This Thursday Night game should have put to rest the comparisons between Wentz and Nick Foles and should have quieted all of those delusional Philly fans saying that Foles was better than Wentz.

I got news for you: FOLES IS NOT BETTER THAN WENTZ.

Ok, so now that we have established that, let’s talk about the rest of this week’s games. I realized the other day that I’ve been 10-6 every week so far with my picks. But now that is an impossibility this week. Not because I doubt my skills in picking games (hehe), but that this is the first week where Bye Weeks come into play. The Jets and the 49ers have a bye this week and I can tell you, you don’t want a Week 4 bye. Why? Because then you have to play 13 straight games plus playoffs, if applicable, and no one wants to play that many games in a row. NO ONE.

I would even rather have the last bye week a team can have as opposed to the first bye week, because then at least if you’re bound to make the playoffs, you get a rest closer to playoff time, and at that point you already know what your team is capable of and you have your roster figured out. By Week 4, most of your players are still healthy, and you may not even have figured out your roster by that point. Not to mention you haven’t played that much up until that first bye week. I think Week 4 byes are the worst. You don’t want your team to get too early of a break and then play 13+ games in a row.

Anyway, enough about byes and let’s say hello to my picks for Week 4!

Week 3 Picks Record: 10-6

Season Picks Record: 31-18


Titans at Falcons

The Falcons are just a better team at home and the Titans’ offense has looked atrocious. Tennessee simply will not be able to keep up offensively and this may be the last straw for Marcus Mariota at QB. Atlanta has no problems. Falcons win 26-14.

Patriots at Bills

I could see the Bills defense giving Brady some fits. But Josh Allen goes up against the best secondary in football and he probably will have at least a couple of turnovers. That’s all New England really needs. New England stays undefeated. Patriots win 30-17.

Chiefs at Lions

Detroit will put up a fight. But Patrick Mahomes has been absolutely sensational and I think the Kansas City offense will prevail in the end. I think the Lions are capable of keeping it interesting though. Chiefs win 35-25.

Raiders at Colts

Could this be a trap game for Indy? Perhaps. But the Raiders have looked completely lost on offense and the Colts offensive line will give Jacoby Brissett room to make just enough plays to pull out a close victory. Colts win 27-23.

Chargers at Dolphins

Whether Melvin Gordon plays or not, I don’t even think it matters. Chargers win 30-17.

Redskins at Giants

Daniel Jones brings new life to the G-Men. He was great last week against Tampa Bay. Maybe the Giants were right all along in taking Jones sixth overall. Hey, what do we know?! Ask yourself this… if Eli Manning plays last week, do the Giants win that game? I don’t think they do.

I think Jones has another good game and the Giants win their second in a row even without Saquon Barkley. All of a sudden New York is a .500 team. Giants win 24-20.

Browns at Ravens

Honestly, I think Baker Mayfield is distracted. He’s got a star receiver to worry about, a rookie head coach to worry about, he’s been preoccupied on social media, and now he has to prove that the Browns made the right decision in picking him over Lamar Jackson; who has been great thus far for Baltimore this season. Maybe the Browns will catch the Ravens down the road a second time around. But not this time. Ravens win 33-28.

Panthers at Texans

Kyle Allen was impressive filling in for Cam Newtown last week. But this time he goes up against a much tougher opponent.

Believe it or not, the Carolina defense has been playing pretty well recently. They’ve allowed the second-fewest receiving yards to opponents this season; only trailing the Patriots. I expect Carolina to keep it close, but I’m going with Houston at home to do just enough offensively to win this game. Texans win 23-20.

Buccaneers at Rams

Tampa Bay completely fell apart last week in the second half against the Giants. As a matter of fact, the defense gave up 22 points in the second half. They cannot afford to do that against the Rams this week. I think Los Angeles will have no problems here. Rams win 29-17.

Seahawks at Cardinals

Kyler Murray vs. Russell Wilson. Pete Carroll vs. Kliff Kingsbury. It is the battle between old and new, and I think I am gonna go with the old in this one. Arizona always seems to play Seattle tough, so I wouldn’t be surprised if Seattle struggles a bit, but Wilson will do just enough to edge out the Cards. Seahawks win 27-24.

Vikings at Bears

Since joining the Vikings, Kirk Cousins has yet to beat the Bears. Last season in two games against Chicago, Cousins threw for 394 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs. That’s not great. I don’t think Cousins particularly likes playing this Chicago defense and that will show again this week on the road. Bears win 16-13.

Jaguars at Broncos

Denver is where great opposing quarterbacks go to die. But Gardner Minshew is not a GREAT quarterback; at least not yet. He is an absolute stud of a human being though.

Because Minshew is not a great quarterback, the Jaguars will somehow pull out this victory, just like Mitch Trubisky did a couple of weeks ago. Jaguars win 24-16.

Cowboys at Saints (Sunday Night)

The Cowboys are 3-0, but they really haven’t played anyone good yet. The fact that Dallas struggled early on against Miami and only had a 4-point lead at halftime is a bit concerning to me.

Meanwhile the Saints haven’t forgotten what Dallas did to them last season. And New Orleans is a team that likes to hold grudges and doesn’t ever get over things, if you know what I mean…

Even without Drew Brees, the Saints can compete and win games with Teddy Bridgewater. They showed that last week.

The Saints struck out on redemption already this season against the Rams, but they’ll even the score with Dallas on Sunday night. Saints win 20-16.

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