It’s estimated that some 26 million Americans will bet nearly $7 billion on the Super Bowl this coming Sunday. But it’s not just the staggering volume of wagers that is unique to this NFL spectacle… it’s what fans are wagering on.
Prop bets have taken off over the years, seemingly both in number and diversity. Don’t feel like betting on the winner of the big game? Lay down some cash on the halftime show instead. Have a hunch that there’ll be a wardrobe malfunction? You can take that action. Think you know what color microphone Demi Lovato will use for the anthem? You can bet on that too. From what the broadcasters will say, to cross-over sports action, there’s seemingly endless angles for bettors to take.
So to help out any curious bettors here, I’ve listed out a few of my favorite prop bets courtesy of SportsBetting.ag. And, of course, a little of my own analysis (to be used at your own risk).
Total mentions of the Super Bowl being played on Groundhog Day – Over/Under 0.5
Over. Wayyyy over. I bet they’ll even show a clip of Billy Murray during the broadcast.
Length of Demi Lovato’s National Anthem – Over/Under 2 minutes, 3 seconds
I don’t know enough about how this is measured to place a confident prop bet. If there is any type of a musical intro, is that considered the start? Or when she sings her first word? Every second counts here, people. Lot of variables. But my gut tells me to bet the over.
Which will be higher – Damien Williams’ total carries (-200), Alex Bregman’s total times being hit by a pitch in 2020 regular season (+150)
Bregman and his Astros teammates are the definitions of personae non gratae, and will likely be treated accordingly by opposing pitchers in 2020. He’s averaged 9 HBP per 162 games in his career, but let’s project that goes up a tick this season to 12-14. I’m going with Bregman on this one.
Will Drake be shown during the broadcast – No (-700), Yes (+400)
I have zero idea of how relevant Drake is or is not anymore. I’ll take the safe bet here and go with no, we won’t get a glimpse of Drizzy.
Will they show the Golden Gate Bridge – No (-325), Yes (+215)
I’m shocked that No is the favorite here. There has to be some kind of panoramic shot of the Bay area and that bridge during that 5 hour broadcast. There just has to be.
Will Joe Buck or Troy Aikman say ‘Patriots’ – Yes (-300), No (+200)
I don’t think any national broadcast of an NFL game these days can go ten minutes without mentioning the Pats. Add in the fact that Tom Brady seems to be on his way out the door, and you can bet Joe and Troy drop the team name at least once. It’s just too big of a storyline to ignore. Lock me in for Yes.
Which will be longer – Bubba Watson’s longest drive on Sunday -30 (-120), Patrick Mahomes passing yards +30 (-120)
Mahomes can chuck it around with the best of them, but Bubba can mash. Watson is in the top 5 on tour for average driving distance (315 yards), but can push 400 yards with ease. I’ll take Bubba, even with him spotting 30.
Which will be higher – Patrick Mahomes passing TDs (-210), Joker Oscar Awards (+160)
This might be the toughest prop bet of the bunch. Joker was nominated for 11 Academy Awards, and therefore (on paper) has the potential to blow Mahomes out of the water. But I’m going to avoid this one altogether, because I’m predicting a tie here. Mahomes throws for 3 TDs, and the Joker takes home Oscars for Best Actor and a couple of the more technical awards.
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