Week 7 was filled with upsets! Eight to be exact! Four of those came from teams inside the top 10. Five saw unranked opponents beating ranked squads. Georgia may have just cost itself the playoffs with a loss to LSU, who put themselves right back in the picture. Oregon is now the PAC 12’s best chance at a playoff spot. Miami is clearly still a year away from bringing back that 80’s swagger. Michigan is Ohio State’s biggest threat. West Virginia’s road got a lot tougher and Will Grier’s Heisman Hopes took a big hit. Texas avoided upset and so did UCF. The Knights of course are still undefeated.
Last week my picks 3-2 and my UPSET OF THE WEEK PICK came true. Thanks USC! Overall this puts me at 25-10 and 3-4 in Upset picks. It’s a new week though and I’m feeling lucky. Let’s get the picks going. It’s my world you’re just reading about it!
5: Virginia at Duke
This is weird! I never would’ve expected these two teams to ever make this list but here we are. Virginia just got it’s biggest win under Bronco Mendenhall, taking down #16 Miami at home. It was an ugly game that ended 16-13 but what do the Cavaliers care. Now they have to travel to Durham to take on Duke. The blue devils only blemish came in the form of a home loss to Va Tech. These two teams are also very much in the running for the Coastal Division lead in the ACC. Both feature good leadership at the QB positions and are pretty evenly matched in every category. This game should come down to home field advantage.
The spread currently sits at -7.5 for Duke. This seems just right for the home team to be favored in this matchup. The game will be played on Saturday, October 20th at 12:30pm on the ACC Network.
My Prediction: Virginia-17 at Duke-28
4: Mississippi State (22) at LSU (5)
This is the type of game for LSU that shouldn’t be close but will be. Coming off a huge win at home over the 2nd ranked Georgia Bulldogs, LSU needs to hope there won’t be a hangover at all. Good thing for them, they get to play the Bulldogs from Mississippi at home. The Tigers have easily been the most surprising team of this year and have put themselves in the playoff picture. Transfer QB Joe Burrow has brought a toughness to the offense for LSU and this team has bought into what Ed Orgeron is selling. Mississippi State is no pushover but I think LSU is too talented to lose this game at home.
The Line sits at -6.5 for LSU. I personally think that’s a little low and could go up as the week carries on. The game will be played on Saturday, October 20th at 7:00pm on ESPN.
My Prediction: Mississippi State-20 at LSU-34
3: Michigan (6) at Michigan State (24)
The battle for Michigan is here and big brother is ready! Since losing to Notre Dame in the opening week of the season, the Wolverines have hit their stride. Last week they destroyed Wisconsin 38-13 to move them up to #6. While that was happening, Michigan State was busy beating then #8 Penn State in Beaver Stadium. The Spartans have had a weird year up to this point with two losses to unranked opponents and now a top ten win. MSU doesn’t do a whole lot of things really well, except for run defense. They lead the nation only allowing 62.3 yards per game. That could make things tough for a Michigan squad that relies heavily on the run game to get things going. Ultimately, the Wolverines are the more talented team and will leave East Lansing with a win.
Michigan is currently favored by 7 on the road. Rivalry games are usually close and I wouldn’t expect this one to be any different. The game will be played on Saturday, October 20th at 12:00pm on FOX.
My Prediction: Michigan-27 at Michigan State-20
2: NC State (16) at Clemson (3)
This one’s for all the marbles! Well at least the ACC Atlantic title. Whoever wins this game will most definitely be playing in the ACC Championship game. When you look at these teams stats next to each other it’s no contest who is better. Clemson leads NC State in every category except Passing Yards Per Game. The Wolfpack can thank Senior QB Ryan Finley for that. He has thrown for over 1,600 yards so far and has at least 1 touchdown in every game. None of that will matter this Saturday. Clemson’s defensive line is ferocious and will make life hard for Finley. Also, the Tigers offense is no laughing matter while the Wolfpacks defense is. This matchup may be close for the first two quarters, but ultimately Clemson will pull away.
The Spread sits at -17 for Clemson. This may go down over the week but I could see the Tigers covering this at home. The game will be played on Saturday, October 20th at 3:30pm on ESPN.
My Prediction: NC State-20 at Clemson-38
1: Oregon (12) at Washington State (25)
The Gameday crew comes to Pullman, Washington! This should be fun. These teams are eerily similar. Both come with stellar QB play and above average defenses. Each QB has over 60% completion percentages on the year and similar TD to INT ratios. The difference is Oregon has a much more balanced attack that utilizes a speedy and affective ground game. Washington State’s run game is nonexistent so they throw the ball a lot. Senior QB Gardner Minshew has attempted 313 passes…Oregon’s Justin Herbert has only attempted 168. What will doom the Cougars is their lack of a running game and Oregon’s solid run defense. Run games travel well and the Ducks should use theirs to control the clock and avoid upset.
The Spread sits at -3 for Washington State. I assume this could go down even further during the week. These teams are the PAC 12’s last hope for a playoff spot. The game will be played on Saturday, October 20th at 7:30pm on FOX.
My Prediction: Oregon-38 at Washington State-30
UPSET PICK OF THE WEEK
Colorado Over Washington (15)! Just a week after predicting USC would upset Colorado, it’s time to flip the script and pick these pesky Buffalo to upset Washington. What a disappointing year for Chris Petersen’s Washington Huskies. Both teams come off a loss but Washington’s meant them being eliminated from making the playoffs. It’s hard to bounce back in these types of situations and Colorado is not the team I’d want to be playing. They have an explosive offense that should give the Huskies fits all night. Plus Colorado could still win out and make the PAC 12 Championship game for the first time ever. They know a win this week puts them closer to their lofty goals.
The spread sits at -16.5 for Washington. That seems really high for an average team, even if its a home game. The game will be played on Saturday, October 20th at 3:30pm on FOX.
My Prediction: Colorado-31 at Washington-30
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