That’s right, let’s tempt fate!
We need to get back on the winning side and I’m out of options. So we’re relying on the number 13 being lucky for us.
Don’t judge, just get on board.
Last Week = 7-8
Season-to-Date = 88-78-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (+11.5)
Tom Brady and the Bucs have been perfect at home, going 5-0. The road has been a different story where they are 3-3 and Brady has thrown only 10 TDs and 6 INTs (compared to 20 TDs and 3 INTs at home).
Tampa Bay has also only won their three road games by an average of five points.
I like Brady and the Bucs to win, but the spread is too high.
The Pick = Atlanta
Arizona Cardinals @ Chicago Bears (+7.5)
Chicago has had 10 days for this game, which is good.
They are also starting Andy Dalton vs. one of the best pass rushes in the leagues, which is bad.
The Pick = Arizona
Los Angeles Chargers @ Cincinnati Bengals (-3)
Classic coin flip game for me.
I’m going to go with the Chargers because I think they looked worse than they are last week, while Cincy looked better than they are.
The Pick = Los Angeles
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions (+7)
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again.
The 2021 Detroit Lions come to play. I know it sounds silly, but they are the least embarrassing winless team I have ever seen.
The Pick = Detroit
New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins (-4)
No Daniel Jones for this one and the Dolphins have become one of the hottest teams in football.
I think Miami takes it in the battle of Belichick disciples.
The Pick = Miami
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Jets (+7)
The Eagles have never beaten the Jets, but Jalen Hurts is unlikely to play in this game.
I think Philly can still get a W with Gardner Minshew under center, but I don’t want to give a touchdown.
The Pick = New York
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (+9)
The Texans are the 2nd worst team in the league against the run.
The Pick = Indianapolis
Washington Football Team @ Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5)
Washington is riding a three-game win streak and is currently a playoff team. The Raiders love losing games after big wins.
The Pick = Washington
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Los Angeles Rams (-13)
This is a perfect game for the Rams to show the league they’re still a threat while everyone has been downplaying them.
The Pick = Los Angeles
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.5)
Ben Roethlisberger’s last game vs. his biggest rival at home? My emotions are saying Pittsburgh covers and I rarely win these games when I just bet with my emotions.
Still…
The Pick = Pittsburgh
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (+3)
The Seahawks are have scored an average of less than 10 points over their last three games (all losses). San Francisco is having serious injury issues, but the Russell Wilson-Seattle era looks to be on its final days.
The Pick = San Francisco
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (-10)
Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes are back. I’m ready to roll with them the rest of the year.
The Pick = Kansas City
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills (-3)
I don’t know if a Patriots win would truly shock the world, but they are the underdog.
I am trying very hard to not let my fandom corrupt my pick here, but I keep coming back to one thing. Last season when New England visited Buffalo they had the ball inside red zone down 3 with less than a minute to go. Cam Newton would go on to fumble at the Buffalo 5 and that was the game.
I think the Patriots are a better team than that, and I think the Bills are worse.
The Pick = New England
Let’s go lucky 13!
We’re totally going to be back in business now.
[Please note there is no guarantee we’ll be back in business]
